The name of the game isn't to win primaries, or even get the most votes.
The true way to win the nomination to get at least 50% plus 1 delegates if no one gets that amount then we get what is called a brokers convention which hasn't happened in recent memory.
It's quite possible not to win a single primary and still win the nomination of a party.
It's also possible to win a vast majority of primaries and not get the nomination.
That's the Donald's problem. I don't think he's going to get enough delegates.
Friday, January 29, 2016
Wednesday, January 27, 2016
Steve's barking; Why Uncle Bernie Winning would be good for the Democratic party
Uncle Bernie needs new voters to win.
There is a good chance that these new voters would vote along party lines, voting for Democrats.
In order for Uncle Bernie to win there must be a huge turnout of new voters.
If the Democrats put up candidates in every congressional district, the house will (surprise, surprise) turn around.
The Democratic party needs new blood,so if my thesis is right they need Bernie more then Hilary for Hilary would not bring in new voters.
There is a good chance that these new voters would vote along party lines, voting for Democrats.
In order for Uncle Bernie to win there must be a huge turnout of new voters.
If the Democrats put up candidates in every congressional district, the house will (surprise, surprise) turn around.
The Democratic party needs new blood,so if my thesis is right they need Bernie more then Hilary for Hilary would not bring in new voters.
Wednesday, January 20, 2016
Steve's barking; The stock market has gone down because....( not enough information )
Watching (actually listening) to business news channels during the current down turn in the markets. Answers given, because the price oil has dropped the stock markets have taken a hit.
Because the down turn of the Chinese economy (down turn not collapse) American companies are hurt.
Because of the crash of oil prices counties such as Saudi Arabia have to cash in their stocks and bonds from their sovereign wealth fund in order to pay their welfare programs.
. (Good possibility).
Because foreign markets have fallen, investors who bought shares of stocks and bonds on margin, their calls have come in and those who owe must sell what they can to cover. (Good possibility)
Because the market has gone down individual owners on margin must sell, forcing the market to go down. (Good possibility)
Because large institutions don't want to show to much negative income they are in panic and selling.(possible)
Because banks lent money to oil companies that might not be able to pay back, therefore their stocks are taking a beating.
Now some or all these reason may be correct, but there isn't enough information to make a correct judgement as to why the markets are collapsing.
This is just like several test that I've taken were one of the possible answers is not enough information to answer the question.
Because the down turn of the Chinese economy (down turn not collapse) American companies are hurt.
Because of the crash of oil prices counties such as Saudi Arabia have to cash in their stocks and bonds from their sovereign wealth fund in order to pay their welfare programs.
. (Good possibility).
Because foreign markets have fallen, investors who bought shares of stocks and bonds on margin, their calls have come in and those who owe must sell what they can to cover. (Good possibility)
Because the market has gone down individual owners on margin must sell, forcing the market to go down. (Good possibility)
Because large institutions don't want to show to much negative income they are in panic and selling.(possible)
Because banks lent money to oil companies that might not be able to pay back, therefore their stocks are taking a beating.
Now some or all these reason may be correct, but there isn't enough information to make a correct judgement as to why the markets are collapsing.
This is just like several test that I've taken were one of the possible answers is not enough information to answer the question.
Tuesday, January 19, 2016
Steve's barking; Are those who claim that health care is a large tax increase on the middle class are math challenged
Let's assume that some sort of single payer or a single payee health care system came in to existence in the good old US of A. Now of cause some sort of taxes would have to be raised to pay for it.
What's not discussed is the taxes that one would not have to pay the states to pay for the health care system that is currently in place. Currently a state like the Empire State pays between 30 to 33 percent of it's budget on health care. Most states in the union pay over 25 percent of their budget on health care, not counting what counties and municipalities pay for their share of health care.
Now how do these entities pay for health care? I do believe it's a thing called taxes.
And what about Medicare taxes that would not needed to be collected.
How to pay for a health care system. Let's say we spread it out. Having an extra couple of percentages on capital gains. Maybe putting a percentage or two on estate taxes. An extra custom tax on companies that moved out of the U.S. Now the perhaps the goods were made in America, doesn't matter, custom tax them anyway.
If one adds it all together the middle class may not pay that much more in taxes then their paying now.
Those who are against single payer or payee using the argument that middle class taxes must go up, may just be math challenged.
What's not discussed is the taxes that one would not have to pay the states to pay for the health care system that is currently in place. Currently a state like the Empire State pays between 30 to 33 percent of it's budget on health care. Most states in the union pay over 25 percent of their budget on health care, not counting what counties and municipalities pay for their share of health care.
Now how do these entities pay for health care? I do believe it's a thing called taxes.
And what about Medicare taxes that would not needed to be collected.
How to pay for a health care system. Let's say we spread it out. Having an extra couple of percentages on capital gains. Maybe putting a percentage or two on estate taxes. An extra custom tax on companies that moved out of the U.S. Now the perhaps the goods were made in America, doesn't matter, custom tax them anyway.
If one adds it all together the middle class may not pay that much more in taxes then their paying now.
Those who are against single payer or payee using the argument that middle class taxes must go up, may just be math challenged.
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